The following two results are straightforward and reasonably well-known exercises in combinatorics:
- The number of permutations on
elements with no fixed points (derangements) is approximately
.
- The expected number of fixed points of a random permutation on
elements is
.
As it turns out, it is possible to say substantially more about the distribution of fixed points of a random permutation. In fact, the following is true.
Theorem: As , the distribution of the number of fixed points of a random permutation on
elements is asymptotically Poisson with rate
.
A boring proof
Once we know that the number of derangements of elements is approximately
, we know that the number of permutations of
elements with exactly
elements is
times the number of derangements of
elements, which is approximately
hence the probability that a permutation on elements has
fixed points is approximately
, which is precisely the probability that a Poisson random variable with rate
takes the value
.
A more interesting proof
For this proof we will show convergence in the sense of moments; that is, if is the random variable describing the number of fixed points of a random permutation on
elements, we will show that the moments
converge to the moments of a Poisson random variable
with rate
. First, we compute that the moment generating function of
is
which is the exponential generating function of the Bell numbers , which count the number of partitions of a set with
elements. We conclude that
so it suffices to show that converges to
. Actually we will show a little more than this.
Theorem: is the number of partitions of a set with
elements into at most
non-empty subsets.
Proof 1. Note that
where is the number of fixed points of
acting on the set of functions
. It follows by Burnside’s lemma that the above sum is equal to the number of orbits of
acting on the set of functions
, which is precisely the number of partitions of
into at most
non-empty subsets (by taking preimages of each element of
).
Proof 2. By the exponential formula,
which simplifies to
.
To extract moments, we can apply the differential operator
and substitute
. Either by induction or by a combinatorial argument (see for example this math.SE question), we can show that
where are the Stirling numbers of the second kind, which count the number of partitions of a set with
elements into exactly
non-empty subsets. We conclude that
and substituting we conclude that
.
This gives
as desired.
[…] Previously we showed that the distribution of fixed points of a random permutation of elements behaves asymptotically (in the limit as ) like a Poisson random variable with parameter . As it turns out, this generalizes to the following. […]
[…] Previously we showed that the distribution of fixed points of a random permutation of elements behaves asymptotically (in the limit as ) like a Poisson random variable with parameter . As it turns out, this generalizes to the following. […]